Articles
Winning the Game of Thrones: Leadership Succession in Modern Autocracies. 2020. Journal of Conflict Resolution.
Online appendix here. Data and replication files here.
Online appendix here. Data and replication files here.
The Law and Politics of Presidential Term Limit Evasion. 2020. Columbia Law Review 120(1): 1-77. (with Mila Versteeg, Tim Horley, Mauricio Gium, and Marilyn Guirguis)
Ruling Parties in Authoritarian Regimes: Rethinking Institutional Strength. 2019. British Journal of Political Science.
Data and replication files here.
Accessing the State: Executive Constraints and Credible Commitment in Dictatorships. 2019. The Journal of Theoretical Politics 33(4): 568-599.
Gerrymandering Opposition: Minority-Concentrated Districts and Electoral Competition in Mexico. 2017. Studies In Comparative International Development 52:64-86. (with Brian Palmer-Rubin)
Working Papers
Subverting Electoral Competition: Elite Cooptation and Opposition Fragmentation. (with Leonardo Arriola and Jed DeVaro). Revise and Resubmit at the American Political Science Review.
Rebel Regimes and Military Powersharing: Consequences of Conflict for Authoritarian Durability (with Jack Paine).
Under review. Non-technical summary available here.
Under review. Non-technical summary available here.
Highway Through the Danger Zone: Thresholds of Democratic Survival and Breakdown (with Benjamin Helms, Jonathan Kropko, and David Leblang)
Works in Progress
Autocratization (with Jack Paine) - Coming soon!
Autocratic Backsliding: The Politics of Executive Aggrandizement in Non-Democracies (book project)