Articles
Democratic Subversion: Elite Cooptation and Opposition Fragmentation. 2021. American Political Science Review.
(with Leonardo Arriola and Jed DeVaro)
Online appendix here. Data and replication files here.
Winning the Game of Thrones: Leadership Succession in Modern Autocracies. 2021. Journal of Conflict Resolution. 65(5): 950-981.
Online appendix here. Data and replication files here.
Online appendix here. Data and replication files here.
Ruling Parties in Authoritarian Regimes: Rethinking Institutional Strength. 2021. British Journal of Political Science. 51(2): 526-540.
Data and replication files here.
The Law and Politics of Presidential Term Limit Evasion. 2020. Columbia Law Review 120(1): 1-77. (with Mila Versteeg, Tim Horley, Mauricio Gium, and Marilyn Guirguis)
Accessing the State: Executive Constraints and Credible Commitment in Dictatorships. 2019. The Journal of Theoretical Politics 33(4): 568-599.
Gerrymandering Opposition: Minority-Concentrated Districts and Electoral Competition in Mexico. 2017. Studies In Comparative International Development 52:64-86. (with Brian Palmer-Rubin)
Working Papers
Power Sharing and Authoritarian Stability: Evidence from Rebel Regimes. (with Jack Paine).
Revise & Resubmit at the American Political Science Review. Non-technical summary available here.
Revise & Resubmit at the American Political Science Review. Non-technical summary available here.
Autocratization (with Jack Paine)
Works in Progress
Autocratic Backsliding: The Politics of Executive Aggrandizement in Non-Democracies (book project)
Authoritarian Power Sharing: Concepts, Mechanisms, and Strategies (commissioned by the Annual Review of Political Science, with Jack Paine and Robert Powell)
Highway Through the Danger Zone: Thresholds of Democratic Survival and Breakdown (with Benjamin Helms, Jonathan Kropko, and David Leblang)
Authoritarian Leaders, Defense Ministers and Inter-State Conflict (with Simonas Cepenas)
Other Publications
Author Exchange with Ken Opalo for Constraining Dictatorship. 2021. Democracy and Autocracy. 19(1): 16-22.